Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 4.5% on 11 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 208 daily closes on record from 11 Dec 2025 to 5 Aug 2026 (30 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 4.5% on 11 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 22 Apr 2026. $2.24K traded over the market's life.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 5, 4:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 208 points, 11 Dec 2025 – 5 Aug 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Dec 2025 | 4.5% |
| 5 Aug 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.83K |
| d4d5 | Yes | 585.53 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 444.98 |
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/michigan-governor-democratic-primary-winner
| anciente | Yes | 78 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 64.42 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 50 |
| pd.unique | Yes | 35 |
| keybo | Yes | 20 |
| TurtleFlair | Yes | 20 |
| emapol4 | Yes | 18 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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