Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 17% on 12 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 79 daily closes on record from 12 Dec 2025 to 4 Mar 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 17% on 12 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.2% on 4 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9 points down, to 8% on 13 Dec 2025. $2.09K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 4, 4:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 79 points, 12 Dec 2025 – 4 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Dec 2025 | 17.0% |
| 4 Mar 2026 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 755.58 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 499.99 |
| qihanlan | Yes | 235 |
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Texas, scheduled to take place on March 3, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Texas Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Texas Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/texas-governor-republican-primary-winner
| Yes |
| 173.14 |
| FrankyFourFingers | Yes | 159.57 |
| Utter-Downgrade | Yes | 15 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 14.99 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 10 |
| Coral Summit 800B | Yes | 5 |
| rocket661 | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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