Analytics
Yes is at 19.5%, down 31 points from 50% when the market opened on 25 Aug 2026.
Across the 63 daily closes on record from 25 Aug 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 52% on 1 Sep 2026 and the lowest 15.5% on 23 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 16.5%; a month before, 15.5%. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 26.5% on 10 Sep 2026.
It is one of 18 markets under “Primeira Liga: Teams relegated (2026-27)”.
$1.78K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $661.36, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 27 trades, $135.3 bought Yes and $449.43 bought No.
The largest Yes position is title1 with 219 shares; the largest No position is Cyberflems with 454.
Trading closes on 1 Jul 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 12:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 63 points, 25 Aug 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 19.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Cyberflems | No | 453.84 |
| title1 | Yes | 218.85 |
| AMAM13 | Yes | 105 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Primeira Liga at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Primeira Liga season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Primeira Liga for the following season through their final standing in the 2026-27 Primeira Liga, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Primeira Liga. If the 2026-27 Primeira Liga season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Primeira Liga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/primeira-liga-teams-relegated-2026-27
6 more markets, none above 3.5%.
| misha-d1 |
| Yes |
| 50 |
| lolzzzlol | Yes | 30.2 |
| Solar Signal F3B1 | Yes | 30 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 26.95 |
| 0x0820-3 | No | 8.35 |
| gfdgfvfvssdd | Yes | 2.12 |
| hfv | No | 0.88 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
