Analytics
Yes is at 2%, down 5 points from 7% when the market opened on 22 Aug 2026.
Across the 66 daily closes on record from 22 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 7% on 22 Aug 2026 and the lowest 1% on 30 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 2.1%; a month before, 2.4%.
Margaret Inusa Yahaya ranks fourth of the 5 outcomes in “Plateau, Nigeria Governor Election Winner”. Mutfwang Caleb Manasseh leads at 76.5%; Kefas Ropshik is at 16.4%.
$87.7 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $416.95 since listing. The order book holds $13.75K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 123 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 352.
Trading closes on 7 Feb 2027, 100 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:35 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 66 points, 22 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Aug 2026 | 7.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 2.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 351.76 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 123.37 |
| sanduspace | Yes | 101.57 |
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Plateau State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Plateau State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/plateau-nigeria-governor-election-winner
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 50 |
| YouSayUpISayDown | Yes | 30 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 24.31 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 20 |
| Geromi | Yes | 4 |
| Shy-Note | No | 1.49 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
