Analytics
Resolved No on 10 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 48% on 30 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 30 Jun 2026 to 10 Jul 2026, the highest close was 49.5% on 1 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 3 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 43 points down, to 6.5% on 2 Jul 2026. $246.43 traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 10, 11:39 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 30 Jun 2026 – 10 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | 48.0% |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 306.43 |
| appaHenDuoCian | Yes | 20 |
| cwc909 | Yes | 20 |
| hesure | Yes | 16 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the next team Marcus Smart officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Marcus Smart does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If Marcus Smart joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If Marcus Smart is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nba-free-agency-marcus-smart-next-team-20260622175627425
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
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