Analytics
Resolved No on 10 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 2.7% on 9 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 94 daily closes on record from 9 Jul 2025 to 10 Oct 2025, the highest close was 2.7% on 9 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 17 Aug 2025. $182.07K traded over the market's life.
56 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 11, 4:41 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 94 points, 9 Jul 2025 – 10 Oct 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jul 2025 | 2.7% |
| 10 Oct 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 500.21K |
| gopfan2 | Yes | 27.35K |
| yhjgy65 | Yes | 24K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelensky, Elon Musk, Pope Leo XIII, or Yulia Navalnaya are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them, in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners, and the prize is awarded jointly to a listed individual and a listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners, and all recipients are of the same type (e.g. all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market. If no official announcement regarding the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other." The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2025
| Yes |
| 14.6K |
| AdvantagePlayer | Yes | 10K |
| ciro2 | Yes | 8.18K |
| vamnizar | Yes | 5K |
| KVodkin | Yes | 4K |
| Henrih7 | Yes | 3.61K |
| Novus0rdoSeclorum | Yes | 3.52K |
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