Analytics
Trading is closed with Yes last at 0.1%; no result has been reported.
Across the 269 daily closes on record from 7 Jan 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (29 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 31.4% on 8 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 3 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.1%; a month before, 0.1%. Its largest one-day move was 29 points up, to 29.2% on 10 Mar 2026.
It is one of 23 markets under “Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner”.
$8.69K has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is Jesuschristsuperstar with 1.9K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 7.8K. Ten wallets hold 86.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Oct 30, 12:59 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 269 points, 7 Jan 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Jan 2026 | 23.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 7.84K |
| Jesuschristsuperstar | Yes | 1.86K |
| morilun | Yes | 1K |
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Lebanon in May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Lebanese Parliament. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Lebanese Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Lebanese Ministry of Interior and Municipalities (interior.gov.lb). Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lebanon-parliamentary-election-winner
11 more markets, none above 0.1%.
| 0xM11tsuki | Yes | 585.63 |
| sciuboi | Yes | 511.7 |
| mehanizator | Yes | 500 |
| niglette | Yes | 495.26 |
| 50sad | Yes | 378.72 |
| dddtrips | Yes | 276.1 |
| 30sdfdsf | Yes | 265.86 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
