Analytics
Yes is at 38.5%, up 23 points from 15.5% when the market opened on 27 Sep 2026.
Across the 29 daily closes on record from 27 Sep 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 56.5% on 24 Oct 2026 and the lowest 15.5% on 27 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 50.5%; a month before, 24%. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 43.5% on 30 Sep 2026.
$2.23K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $46.93K since listing. The order book holds $9.12K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 337 trades, $9.25K bought Yes and $10.41K bought No; the largest was a $4K buy of Yes at 55.4¢.
The largest Yes position is Robbery2000 with 8.7K shares; the largest No position is VGR22 with 8.4K. Ten wallets hold 80.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jul 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 11:02 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 29 points, 27 Sep 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2026 | 15.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 38.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Robbery2000 | Yes | 8.69K |
| VGR22 | No | 8.35K |
| spacegliderr | No | 5.25K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Manchester City FC is officially relegated from the English Premier League following the 2026-27 season, or is expelled from the Premier League by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Relegation or expulsion for any reason will count, including as a result of points deductions or other sanctions imposed in the Premier League's proceedings against Manchester City FC concerning alleged breaches of the Premier League's financial rules, which were announced on February 6, 2023 (commonly referred to as the "115 charges" case). An expulsion will count once it is officially imposed and announced, regardless of whether it is later appealed or overturned. If the 2026-27 Premier League season is not completed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No", unless Manchester City FC has been expelled by that date. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Premier League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-manchester-city-be-relegated-from-the-premier-league-in-2026-27
| WearyWanderer |
| Yes |
| 4.22K |
| BluesRz246312 | Yes | 3.66K |
| Tender-Sombrero | No | 2.62K |
| StudyPrediction | No | 1.5K |
| Cyberflems | Yes | 1.01K |
| 0x49F206 | No | 663.76 |
| OrangeApple | Yes | 505.91 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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