Analytics
Resolved No on 18 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 15% on 6 May 2025. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 6 May 2025 to 18 May 2025, the highest close was 16.5% on 14 May 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 18 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 4% on 15 May 2025. $21.13K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 19, 8:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 6 May 2025 – 18 May 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 May 2025 | 15.0% |
| 18 May 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0xactavsan | Yes | 45.07 |
| eurovision2025 | Yes | 19.54 |
| 30XA | No | 0.02 |
| Kapii | Yes | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2025 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2025, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/eurovision-2025-top-5
| lestAAAA | No | 0.02 |
| bigboops | No | 0.01 |
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