Will Malika Ayane win Sanremo 2026?

Resolved

No, settled Mar 1, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$2.1K

Resolved

Settled

Mar 1, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Mar 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 93.8%. Yes opened at 28% on 23 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 68 daily closes on record from 23 Dec 2025 to 28 Feb 2026, the highest close was 28% on 23 Dec 2025 and the lowest 4% on 28 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 10.5% on 24 Dec 2025. $2.11K traded over the market's life.

20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 8:25 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 68 points, 23 Dec 2025 – 28 Feb 2026, chart shows 0%–40%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
23 Dec 2025	28.0%
28 Feb 2026	6.2%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	3.2K
Amber Horizon 6EB5	Yes	587.24
shine	Yes	296.7

10 of 20 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to the contestant or group who wins Sanremo 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Sanremo 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to official Sanremo rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Sanremo (https://sanremofestival.info/), including live footage of Sanremo 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.