Analytics
Yes is at 29%, down 2.5 points from 31.5% when the market opened on 28 Jul 2026.
Across the 90 daily closes on record from 28 Jul 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 47% on 31 Aug 2026 and the lowest 11% on 9 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 21.5%; a month before, 27.5%. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 43.5% on 28 Aug 2026.
It is one of 3 markets under “UFC: Who Will Magomed Ankalaev Fight Next?”.
$717.66 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $19.2K since listing. The order book holds $599.62, with a 14.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 409 trades, $1.78K bought Yes and $2.93K bought No.
The largest Yes position is EsperanzasDESTROYER with 1.7K shares; the largest No position is catalanpaths with 1.3K. Ten wallets hold 93% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 25 Jul 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 1:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 90 points, 28 Jul 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Jul 2026 | 31.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 29.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| EsperanzasDESTROYER | Yes | 1.66K |
| catalanpaths | No | 1.27K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 656.88 |
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Magomed Ankalaev is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Magomed Ankalaev is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Magomed Ankalaev is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by July 25, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-who-will-magomed-ankalaev-fight-next-20260724195508049
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 202.9 |
| jikolep | Yes | 170.09 |
| 57284910 | Yes | 140 |
| loag | No | 73.53 |
| FrozenParasite | Yes | 68.36 |
| DREAMBIG. | No | 60 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 45.92 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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