Analytics
Resolved No on 27 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 2.5% on 17 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 38 daily closes on record from 17 Feb 2026 to 27 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 7.4% on 22 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 7 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6.8 points up, to 7.1% on 21 Feb 2026. $30.2K traded over the market's life.
40 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 28, 5:45 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 38 points, 17 Feb 2026 – 27 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Feb 2026 | 2.5% |
| 27 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 40.79K |
| lessthanapennylane | Yes | 3.56K |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 2.51K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Elections for Nepal’s House of Representatives are scheduled for March 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Nepal following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Nepal; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-nepal
| Yes |
| 1.68K |
| Impressive-Exhibit | Yes | 958.78 |
| Dim-Glut | Yes | 591.19 |
| stekiz | Yes | 500 |
| Noxious-Inspiration | Yes | 500 |
| Meager-Futon | Yes | 304.21 |
| rated | Yes | 297.59 |
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