Analytics
Resolved No on 19 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 4.5% on 14 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 14 Aug 2026 to 19 Aug 2026, the highest close was 4.5% on 14 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.6% on 19 Aug 2026. $545.51 traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 20, 1:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 14 Aug 2026 – 19 Aug 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Aug 2026 | 4.5% |
| 19 Aug 2026 | 0.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 206.55 |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes | 100 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 35 |
| bechamel | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve based on Lyntris' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on August 19 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before October 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading. In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lyntris-ipo-closing-market-cap-20260812162939579
| Mojito9 | Yes | 20 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 10 |
| sanduspace | Yes | 9.27 |
| Shallow-Male | Yes | 9 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
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