Analytics
Resolved No on 7 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.3%. Yes opened at 10% on 18 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 17 daily closes on record from 18 Apr 2026 to 7 May 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 24.5% on 23 Apr 2026 and the lowest 2.8% on 7 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points down, to 10.5% on 26 Apr 2026. $5.55K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 8, 9:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 17 points, 18 Apr 2026 – 7 May 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Apr 2026 | 10.0% |
| 7 May 2026 | 2.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| peiotrading | Yes | 42 |
| Colala | Yes | 30 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lyft’s total number of rides for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Lyft’s official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, regulatory filings, and webcast transcripts/recordings. Note: if the specified company reports multiple variations of the specified metric, the first version of the metric found in the following hierarchy of earnings materials will be used. 1) Earnings Press Release 2) Earnings Investor Presentation 3) Regulatory Filings 4) Transcripts or recordings of Earnings webcast.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lyft-total-rides-above-in-q1
| Coral Oracle 4399 | Yes | 24 |
| Neat-Robot | Yes | 6.17 |
| Sleepy-Cactus | Yes | 6 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
