Analytics
Resolved No on 27 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 5.5% on 24 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 24 Oct 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 5.5% on 24 Oct 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 27 Oct 2026. $10.36K traded over the market's life.
26 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 27, 10:14 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 24 Oct 2026 – 27 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2026 | 5.5% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Reckless-Estrogen-Competence | No | 1.18K |
| ElZhao | Yes | 605.36 |
| manochartino | Yes | 454.06 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to be held in London on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, attending the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-attend-the-2026-ballon-dor-ceremony-20261016121846566
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