Will Luis Diaz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

sportsResolved

No, settled Oct 26, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$399

Resolved

Settled

Oct 26, 2026 UTC

Topic roomBallon d'Or Soccer

Where it stands

Resolved No on 26 Oct 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 98%. Yes opened at 8.1% on 8 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 76 daily closes on record from 8 Aug 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 8.6% on 10 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 15 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5.4 points down, to 3.2% on 12 Aug 2026. $399.47 traded over the market's life.

6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 27, 5:45 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 76 points, 8 Aug 2026 – 24 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–15%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Deafening-Possible	Yes	150
843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734.	Yes	150
justmeandme	Yes	21

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Luis Diaz officially finishes in the top 3 (positions 1 through 3) of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or final ranking. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.