Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.8%. Yes opened at 16.5% on 21 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 135 daily closes on record from 21 Aug 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 99.8% on 1 Jan 2026 and the lowest 8% on 28 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 45 points up, to 64.5% on 25 Nov 2025. $129.28K traded over the market's life.
64 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 135 points, 21 Aug 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Aug 2025 | 16.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 99.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 14.74K |
| Extra-Small-Dollop | No | 3.32K |
| Famous-Asset | No | 1.9K |
This is a market group over which movie will make the third most money over its opening weekend in 2025.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-movie-has-third-biggest-opening-weekend-in-2025
| Artistic-Card | No | 1.07K |
| Silver Lynx 743F | No | 385 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 357 |
| sunshines | No | 292.08 |
| Coral Tide 19CB | No | 238.27 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 227 |
| Emerald Vector 578B | No | 210 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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