
Resolved No on 21 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 6% on 17 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 17 Oct 2024 to 21 Oct 2024, the highest close was 16% on 19 Oct 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 21 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 11 points up, to 16% on 19 Oct 2024. $4.43K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 22, 3:07 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 17 Oct 2024 – 21 Oct 2024, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2024 | 6.0% |
| 21 Oct 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ThirdFeet | Yes | 500 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 243.51 |
| daroghi | Yes | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on predicting the winner of the US Grand Prix race.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-grand-prix-winner
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