Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 63%. Yes opened at 24.5% on 9 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 27 daily closes on record from 9 Feb 2025 to 7 Mar 2025, the highest close was 37% on 7 Mar 2025 and the lowest 9% on 10 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 9% on 10 Feb 2025. $30.37K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 8, 4:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 9 Feb 2025 – 7 Mar 2025, chart shows 0%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Feb 2025 | 24.5% |
| 7 Mar 2025 | 37.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.48K |
| 545525 | Yes | 338.24 |
| heuer | Yes | 180.53 |
| Swift Signal D3FB | Yes | 6.06 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the nonfarm payroll employment according to the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for February, scheduled to be released on March 7, 2025, 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-jobs-added-in-february-2025
| Azure Signal 9B41 | Yes | 3.03 |
| Quiet Atlas FB8B | Yes | 2.94 |
| Cosmic Atlas 56EA | Yes | 2.78 |
| akl-4ibm | No | 0.03 |
| smartmoney.no.smart.no.money | No | 0.02 |
| otencrtu | No | 0.01 |
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