Analytics
Resolved No on 17 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 53%. Yes opened at 45% on 6 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 42 daily closes on record from 6 Jun 2024 to 17 Jul 2024, the highest close was 65.5% on 10 Jun 2024 and the lowest 18% on 16 Jun 2024. Its largest one-day move was 36 points down, to 30% on 11 Jun 2024. $700.19 traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 18, 9:52 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 42 points, 6 Jun 2024 – 17 Jul 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jun 2024 | 45.0% |
| 17 Jul 2024 | 47.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| dapang000231 | Yes | 50.51 |
| qinzigaiming | Yes | 15.15 |
| yeliuyun | Yes | 5.05 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The 2024 European Parliament election in Italy is scheduled to be held on June 8-9, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Lega (League, Lega per Salvini Premier, League for Salvini Premier) receives over 9% of votes cast in the 2024 European Parliament election in Italy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/italy-eu-election
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