Analytics
Resolved No on 27 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 3.8% on 2 Jul 2026. Before it settled, the high was 6.2% on 11 Jul 2026 and the low 0.1% on 20 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5.1 points up, to 6.2% on 11 Jul 2026. $18.44K traded over the market's life.
41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 28, 2:40 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 26 points, 2 Jul 2026 – 27 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2026 | 3.8% |
| 27 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 20.67K |
| balthazar | Yes | 1.61K |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 1.26K |
| Madefaka | Yes | 867.18 |
| baobbbb | Yes | 645 |
| Impressionable-Toad | Yes | 500 |
| h123. | Yes | 499.96 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 497.68 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 459.77 |
| Monkey.Man | Yes | 313.83 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve in favor of the bucket that matches the annual average value of the next NBA contract of LeBron James as reported at signing. Only contracts with a minimum length of 1 year will be considered. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If LeBron James retires or does not agree to a contract with an NBA team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nba-how-much-will-lebrons-next-contract-be-20260630183002758
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