Analytics
Resolved No on 27 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 42% on 12 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 99 daily closes on record from 12 Apr 2026 to 27 Jul 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 42% on 12 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 19 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 27.3% on 29 Apr 2026. $478.01K traded over the market's life.
122 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 27, 2:06 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 99 points, 12 Apr 2026 – 27 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Apr 2026 | 42.0% |
| 27 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.45M |
| coali10 | Yes | 176.3K |
| balthazar | Yes | 76.47K |
This market will resolve to the next team LeBron James officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If LeBron James does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Los Angeles Lakers”. If LeBron James joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”. If LeBron James retires or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. An official acquisition announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Los Angeles Lakers and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nba-lebron-james-next-team
| Yes |
| 29.18K |
| Earnest-Twitter | Yes | 20K |
| NyetRisk | Yes | 19.19K |
| gdime27 | Yes | 16.5K |
| DavidShekel | Yes | 15.76K |
| Impressionable-Toad | Yes | 15K |
| Tjz28 | Yes | 13K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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