Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 16% on 1 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 186 daily closes on record from 1 Jul 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 25.5% on 7 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.2% on 28 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 20% on 7 Nov 2025. $32.79K traded over the market's life.
47 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 186 points, 1 Jul 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2025 | 16.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Kingjusti | Yes | 1K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 433 |
| VictoryGod | Yes | 253.52 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-country-will-join-abraham-accords-in-2025
New to prediction markets?
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 237 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 190 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 154 |
| vanalek6 | Yes | 125 |
| Apprehensive-Conformation | Yes | 100 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 94 |
| JaneVillarreal5153 | Yes | 92 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
