Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 107.53 | $0.930 | $105.48 | +$5.48 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 107.53 | $0.930 | $100 | 17d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 400 |
| $0.200 |
| $102 |
| +$22 |
| Costco increases hotdog price before 2027? | No | 53.19 | $0.940 | $48.4 | -$1.6 |
 Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? | Yes | 500 | $0.020 | $37.5 | +$27.5 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 310.32 | $0.129 | $3.41 | -$36.59 |
 Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 900 | $0.006 | $1.35 | -$4.05 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 298.76 | $0.198 | $1.34 | -$57.81 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 235.62 | $0.212 | $0.71 | -$49.29 |
 Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 158.44 | $0.006 | $0.08 | -$0.87 |
| buy |
| 53.19 |
| $0.940 |
| $50 |
| Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Gay" in June?No | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.900 | $150 | May 31, 2026 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?Yes | buy | 421.39 | $0.036 | $15 | May 31, 2026 |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?No | buy | 304.27 | $0.986 | $300 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?Yes | buy | 116.99 | $0.318 | $37.19 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 400 | $0.968 | $387.2 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 900 | $0.006 | $5.4 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 830 | $0.006 | $4.98 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will John Ratcliffe be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | buy | 740.63 | $0.009 | $6.64 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 315.79 | $0.950 | $300 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman wear a suit and tie by Thursday?Yes | buy | 607.17 | $0.039 | $23.68 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $800M and $1B?No | buy | 104.38 | $0.958 | $100 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes | sell | 2.48K | $0.031 | $77.02 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 8.2K | $0.005 | $41 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 8.2K | $0.009 | $73.8 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 11.09K | $0.006 | $66.51 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 310.32 | $0.129 | $40 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 235.62 | $0.212 | $50 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 298.76 | $0.198 | $59.15 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes | buy | 158 | $0.090 | $14.22 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes | buy | 650.09 | $0.080 | $52.01 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes | buy | 365 | $0.070 | $25.55 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 313.48 | $0.957 | $300 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will No Other Choice win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1.73K | $0.004 | $6.93 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will Rental Family win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 651.53 | $0.005 | $3.26 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.31K | $0.060 | $78.64 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 10.42K | $0.001 | $10.42 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 2.9K | $0.001 | $2.9 | Oct 28, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?Yes | buy | 212.5 | $0.080 | $17 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?No | buy | 209.42 | $0.955 | $200 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will LeBron James be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.002 | $10 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Richard Seymour win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Yes | buy | 11.26K | $0.001 | $11.26 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 352.94 | $0.017 | $6 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 218.75 | $0.960 | $210 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be the next leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 520 | $0.030 | $15.6 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump be the next leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 177 | $0.029 | $5.13 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump be the next leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.028 | $3.64 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 697.05 | $0.004 | $2.69 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 1.29K | $0.002 | $2.59 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 9.15K | $0.010 | $91.47 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 22.67K | $0.008 | $181.33 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?No | buy | 308.5 | $0.972 | $300 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Young Thug in 2025?No | buy | 309.85 | $0.968 | $300 | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 22.67K | $0.009 | $204 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 23K | $0.009 | $207 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 20K | $0.010 | $200 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.002 | $20 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 39.04 | $0.939 | $36.66 | Oct 9, 2025 |