Analytics
Resolved Yes on 27 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 50%. Yes opened at 53.5% on 25 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 62 daily closes on record from 25 Aug 2026 to 27 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 71% on 26 Oct 2026 and the lowest 31% on 29 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 50% on 27 Oct 2026. $8.82K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 28, 4:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 62 points, 25 Aug 2026 – 27 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Aug 2026 | 53.5% |
| 27 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 757.7 |
| SnapElectionAvoider | No | 417.1 |
| SmartBoyBilly | No | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The 2026 Guelph, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Guelph, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Guelph, Ontario.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/guelph-mayoral-election-winner
New to prediction markets?
| No |
| 50 |
| Haradwaith | No | 28.19 |
| hgr1 | No | 20.41 |
| Scornful-Thrush | No | 20 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | No | 20 |
| a5533 | No | 20 |
| Gordon-Gekko | No | 12 |
