Analytics
Yes is at 26.1%, down 20 points from 46.5% when the market opened on 15 Oct 2026.
Across the 13 daily closes on record from 15 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49% on 17 Oct 2026 and the lowest 26.1% on 28 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 45.5%. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 26.1% on 28 Oct 2026.
It is one of 8 markets under “F1 Drivers' Champion: 4th Place”.
$15.01 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $60.42, with a 47.9% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is VonVonagh with 5 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 10.
Trading closes on 6 Dec 2026, 37 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 5:21 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 15 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2026 | 46.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 26.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 10.01 |
| VonVonagh | Yes | 5.01 |
| ghito1 | Yes | 5 |
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 4th in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. If multiple drivers tie for fourth place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine final positions in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship standings. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to finish 4th in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship standings based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-f1-drivers-champion-4th-place
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
