Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 17% on 3 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 3 Sep 2026 to 7 Sep 2026, the highest close was 40.8% on 6 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 7 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 41 points down, to 0.3% on 7 Sep 2026. $14.21K traded over the market's life.
23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 8, 3:58 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 3 Sep 2026 – 7 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Sep 2026 | 17.0% |
| 7 Sep 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.91K |
| balthazar | Yes | 660 |
| chessplayer | Yes | 362 |
| Anjun | Yes | 311.42 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft. This market will resolve according to the number of Warzone deaths during the entire marathon. The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective. If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon. This market will remain open until the end of the marathon. If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lacy-and-marlon-warzone-deaths-during-marathon
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 288.42 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 113.22 |
| zzmdc2 | Yes | 50 |
| dayandnight005 | Yes | 50 |
| Bright Maven 723F | Yes | 50 |
| Attached-Prairie | Yes | 36.11 |
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