Analytics
Resolved Yes on 5 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 89%. Yes opened at 74% on 2 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 2 Jul 2024 to 5 Jul 2024, the highest close was 89% on 5 Jul 2024 and the lowest 45% on 3 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 36 points up, to 89% on 5 Jul 2024. $6.39K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 6, 4:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 2 Jul 2024 – 5 Jul 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2024 | 74.0% |
| 5 Jul 2024 | 89.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.58K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Labour Party controls less than 450 seats in the House of Commons as a result of the next UK General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If voting in the next UK General Election does not occur by January 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Labour Party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK Government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/of-conservative-seats-after-uk-election-449-525
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