Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.3%. Yes opened at 13.5% on 8 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 15% on 11 May 2026 and the low 0.5% on 20 Aug 2026. $25.08K traded over the market's life.
50 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 4:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 117 points, 8 May 2026 – 1 Sep 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 May 2026 | 13.5% |
| 1 Sep 2026 | 0.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kylian Mbappé leaves Real Madrid at any point before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes resignation, termination, joining another club (whether by permanent transfer or loan), or any other scenario in which he is no longer serving as a player of Real Madrid. A loan to another club constitutes leaving for the purposes of this market, even if Mbappé remains under contract with Real Madrid. If a departure is officially announced or agreed upon before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when the move formally takes effect or is registered. If Kylian Mbappé is placed on temporary or medical leave but remains officially a Real Madrid player through August 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Real Madrid or Kylian Mbappé. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-kylian-mbappe-leave-real-madrid-before-august-31
| Yes |
| 493.6 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 441.3 |
| Crazy-Hybridization | Yes | 263.16 |
| Turbo-J | Yes | 255 |
| Gullible-Fighter | Yes | 233.33 |
| Peppery-Strawman-Rhubarb | Yes | 227.5 |
| hazendy | Yes | 221.67 |
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