Analytics
Resolved No on 14 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 76%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 11 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 11 Jul 2026 to 14 Jul 2026, the highest close was 48.5% on 11 Jul 2026 and the lowest 24% on 14 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 32.5% on 12 Jul 2026. $708.94 traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 15, 1:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 11 Jul 2026 – 14 Jul 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jul 2026 | 48.5% |
| 14 Jul 2026 | 24.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 80.65 |
| Pamburgerwins | Yes | 60.61 |
| RadioFreeZerg | Yes | 59.69 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the player that hits the most home runs in a single round during the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby. If two players tie for the most home runs, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player that hits the most home runs during the entirety of 2026 MLB Home Run Derby. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the player with the most home runs in a single round cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-mlb-home-run-derby-player-with-most-hrs-single-round-20260709214149623
| Yes |
| 31 |
| Dramatic-Servant | Yes | 15 |
| notbanksy | Yes | 8.71 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| Oklmntrader | Yes | 1.29 |
| Mojito9 | No | 0.3 |
| aHjCz | Yes | 0.01 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
