Analytics
Yes is at 39.9%, down 13 points from 53% when the market opened on 25 Jan 2026.
Across the 253 daily closes on record from 25 Jan 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (25 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 56% on 17 Feb 2026 and the lowest 5.5% on 3 May 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 31%; a month before, 38.3%. Its largest one-day move was 29 points up, to 44.8% on 16 May 2026.
It is one of 3 markets under “What price will Kinetiq hit in 2026?”.
$8.7K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $106.5, with a 55.7% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 102 trades, $144.71 bought Yes and $1.97K bought No.
The largest Yes position is 2B9S with 92 shares; the largest No position is brokx13 with 177. Ten wallets hold 86% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 1:02 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 253 points, 25 Jan 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2026 | 53.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 39.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| brokx13 | No | 177.16 |
| FreeCityIndividual | No | 120.98 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 92.21 |
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Hyperliquid 1-minute candle for Kinetiq (KNTQ/USDC) between January 25, 2026, 14:25 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Hyperliquid, specifically the KNTQ/USDC “High” prices available at: https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/trade/KNTQ/USDC with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Only the Hyperliquid KNTQ/USDC price feed will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-kinetiq-hit-in-2026
| xtxpleasecallme |
| Yes |
| 90.77 |
| winexecutescale | Yes | 38.86 |
| 14gjhgjk | Yes | 29.01 |
| 51dgfd | Yes | 19.79 |
| hitfar | Yes | 12 |
| Marchw | Yes | 11 |
| Quinne | No | 11 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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