Analytics
Resolved Yes on 23 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98%. Yes opened at 46% on 7 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 17 daily closes on record from 7 Jul 2026 to 23 Jul 2026, the highest close was 98% on 23 Jul 2026 and the lowest 33% on 9 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 30 points up, to 68% on 16 Jul 2026. $9.4K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 24, 2:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 17 points, 7 Jul 2026 – 23 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Jul 2026 | 46.0% |
| 23 Jul 2026 | 98.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 709.85 |
| BikesAreTheBikes | No | 430.57 |
| Turbulent-Decline-Router | No | 430 |
| mamboNB5 | No | 100.54 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican nomination for Arizona Superintendent of Public Instruction. The Republican primary is scheduled to take place on July 21, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Arizona Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/arizona-superintendent-of-public-instruction-republican-primary-winner-20260702211117571
| Oklmntrader | No | 58.32 |
| gonnakilmyslf | No | 55 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| jellyf | No | 50 |
| calwbt | No | 20 |
| hesure | No | 10 |
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