Analytics
Resolved Yes on 22 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 91.5%. Yes opened at 74.5% on 17 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 17 Mar 2026 to 22 Mar 2026, the highest close was 91.5% on 22 Mar 2026 and the lowest 73% on 18 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points up, to 81.5% on 20 Mar 2026.
23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 23, 10:57 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 17 Mar 2026 – 22 Mar 2026, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Mar 2026 | 74.5% |
| 22 Mar 2026 | 91.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Sniveling-Inn | No | 1.32K |
| david1285 | No | 677.82 |
| TENETENET | No | 500 |
| mugguf | No | 417.45 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if an official X profile of Supreme Leader of Iran Ali Khamenei posts/tweets again between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Posts include any post, repost, or reply. The resolution source for this market are Khamenei's official X profiles: https://x.com/khamenei_ir, https://x.com/KhameneiBangla, https://x.com/az_Khamenei, https://x.com/Khamenei_fa, https://x.com/ar_Khamenei, https://x.com/Khamenei_Heb. Posts/tweets from any other account will not qualify.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-khamenei-tweet-on
| wdjujik85 | No | 209.3 |
| 0xRocket666 | No | 200 |
| Hot-Herb | No | 151.13 |
| 5atka | No | 133.36 |
| EmmaDiaz | No | 61.16 |
| Neon Summit 6E90 | No | 56.26 |
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