Analytics
Resolved Yes on 21 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 90.5%. Yes opened at 70.5% on 17 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 17 Mar 2026 to 21 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 90.5% on 21 Mar 2026 and the lowest 70.5% on 17 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points up, to 80.5% on 18 Mar 2026.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 22, 3:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 17 Mar 2026 – 21 Mar 2026, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Mar 2026 | 70.5% |
| 21 Mar 2026 | 90.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| LukeGamma | No | 2K |
| Sniveling-Inn | No | 989.79 |
| MaryEnglish8948 | No | 766 |
| oijjm | No | 710.79 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if an official X profile of Supreme Leader of Iran Ali Khamenei posts/tweets again between 12:00AM ET and 11:59PM ET on the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Posts include any post, repost, or reply. The resolution source for this market are Khamenei's official X profiles: https://x.com/khamenei_ir, https://x.com/KhameneiBangla, https://x.com/az_Khamenei, https://x.com/Khamenei_fa, https://x.com/ar_Khamenei, https://x.com/Khamenei_Heb. Posts/tweets from any other account will not qualify.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-khamenei-tweet-on
| dizzydes | No | 200 |
| 0xRocket666 | No | 199.99 |
| 5atka | No | 199.97 |
| rtyhgf | No | 169.58 |
| Neon Summit 6E90 | No | 111.01 |
| Faston | No | 87.52 |
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