Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 1.6% on 23 May 2024. Before it settled, across the 44 daily closes on record from 23 May 2024 to 5 Jul 2024, the highest close was 1.6% on 23 May 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 26 Jun 2024. $138.97K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 5, 6:14 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 44 points, 23 May 2024 – 5 Jul 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 May 2024 | 1.6% |
| 5 Jul 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 52.68K |
| grok | Yes | 800 |
| daveda | Yes | 700 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kemi Badenoch is selected as the next prime minister of the United Kingdom following the general election set for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An interim/caretaker prime ministership will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next prime minister of the UK is instated by the end of 2024 this market will resolve also resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uk-election-next-prime-minister
| Yes |
| 100 |
| JGHJFGKHJJ | Yes | 5 |
| DSFASDGD | Yes | 5 |
| HJGJGHJHG | Yes | 5 |
| JRTSDBXVC | Yes | 5 |
| DFGSDF | Yes | 5 |
| fdfgjdgh | Yes | 3.33 |
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