
Resolved No on 12 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 75%. Yes opened at 91% on 8 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 8 Nov 2025 to 12 Nov 2025, the highest close was 91% on 8 Nov 2025 and the lowest 25% on 12 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 39 points down, to 52.5% on 9 Nov 2025. $7.53K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 14, 12:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 8 Nov 2025 – 12 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2025 | 91.0% |
| 12 Nov 2025 | 25.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 2.14K |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 765 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 273 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 259 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Keir Starmer is scheduled to participate in the Prime Minister's Questions (PMQs) in the Commons Chamber in the Palace of Westminster on every Wednesday. (https://www.parliament.uk/visiting/visiting-and-tours/watch-committees-and-debates/prime-ministers-questions/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Keir Starmer says the listed term during the next Prime Minister's Question Time event he participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). If no such Prime Minister's Question Time event happens by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If Starmer ceases to be Prime Minister for any length of time by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about scheduled events featuring Keir Starmer titled "Prime Minister's Question Time" (https://www.parallelparliament.co.uk/mp/keir-starmer/dept/cabinet-office/calendar). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of named, scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 113 |
| GregGriffin | Yes | 99.99 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 94 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 90.99 |
| Nikitt | Yes | 54.99 |
| grunt57 | Yes | 47.62 |
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-keir-starmer-say-at-the-next-prime-ministers-questions-event
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