Will Kazakhstan participate in Eurovision 2026?

Resolved

No, settled Dec 15, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$4.6K

Resolved

Settled

Dec 15, 2025 UTC

Topic roomEurovision

Where it stands

Resolved No on 15 Dec 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 91%. Yes opened at 44.5% on 11 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 35 daily closes on record from 11 Nov 2025 to 15 Dec 2025, the highest close was 51% on 28 Nov 2025 and the lowest 4% on 30 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 37 points up, to 51% on 28 Nov 2025. $4.63K traded over the market's life.

12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Dec 17, 12:35 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 11 Nov 2025 – 15 Dec 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
11 Nov 2025	44.5%
15 Dec 2025	9.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
zonh	Yes	1K
Bright Horizon 81D6	Yes	672
Bright Signal 14DE	Yes	377

10 of 12 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

The final list of participating countries for Eurovision 2026 is expected to be officially published by the European Broadcasting Union (EBU) in mid-to-late December 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country is included in the earliest official list of participants for the Eurovision Song Contest 2026, as announced by the European Broadcasting Union (EBU) or Eurovision by May 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will solely resolve based on the countries mentioned in the first official announcement; subsequent withdrawals or adjustments will not affect the resolution of this market. If no qualifying list is published by May 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Broadcasting Union (EBU) and Eurovision (e.g., https://eurovision.tv); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.