Question 1

What is the “Will Kautkaili win Supernova 2026?” market asking?

Accepted Answer

It asks whether the following will happen: Will Kautkaili win Supernova 2026? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Latvia: Supernova 2026 Winner”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

Question 2

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

Accepted Answer

At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

Question 3

When does this market close?

Accepted Answer

Trading is scheduled to close on Feb 14, 2026. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

Question 4

How does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This market will resolve to the contestant or group who wins Latvia: Supernova 2026, who will represent Latvia in the 2026 Eurovision song contest. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Latvia: Supernova 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to official Supernova rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Supernova…

Question 5

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Accepted Answer

24h volume ($10.91K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Question 6

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Accepted Answer

Vultax loaded 14 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 98.6% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Question 7

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Accepted Answer

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Feb 16, 12:23 AM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Question 8

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

Accepted Answer

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-kautkaili-win-supernova-2026) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Trader	Side	Outcome	Price	Shares	Time
Improbable-Citron	buy	No	99.9%	10	Feb 14, 9:43 PM
Improbable-Citron	buy	No

Will Kautkaili win Supernova 2026?

Latvia: Supernova 2026 Winner

Questions about this market