Analytics
Yes is at 17.5%, down 33 points from 50% when the market opened on 27 Jun 2026.
Across the 113 daily closes on record from 27 Jun 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 52% on 4 Jul 2026 and the lowest 12.5% on 3 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 31.5%; a month before, 26.5%. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 24% on 28 Jun 2026.
It is one of 5 markets under “Will KAST launch a token by ___?”.
$1.84K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $965.22, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 44 trades, $84.89 bought Yes and $657.3 bought No.
The largest Yes position is AJSV with 238 shares; the largest No position is Cerco with 203.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 68 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 3:54 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 113 points, 27 Jun 2026 – 25 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2026 | 50.0% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 17.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AJSV | Yes | 238.23 |
| Cerco | No | 203.22 |
| Beyonddream | No | 108.33 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if KAST officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by KAST will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from KAST (https://x.com/KASTxyz), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-kast-launch-a-token-by
| CZ667 |
| Yes |
| 30 |
| lolzzzlol | Yes | 30 |
| driphop | Yes | 26 |
| UpTheStairs | No | 23.25 |
| Malganis | Yes | 10.58 |
| Dr.PNL | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
