
Resolved Yes on 18 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 78%. Yes opened at 51% on 16 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 16 Oct 2026 to 17 Oct 2026, the highest close was 78% on 17 Oct 2026 and the lowest 51% on 16 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 27 points up, to 78% on 17 Oct 2026. $2.91K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 19, 8:14 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 16 Oct 2026 – 17 Oct 2026, chart shows 40%–90%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2026 | 51.0% |
| 17 Oct 2026 | 78.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| iamnotthedragonman | No | 1.6K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 501.63 |
| Handy-Interval-Haze | No | 79.91 |
| a5533 | No | 73.97 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the team that advances from the Play-In stage of the 2026 League of Legends World Championship (Worlds 2026) to the Swiss Stage. The Play-In stage is currently scheduled for October 15 to October 18, 2026, in Los Angeles. Under the published format, four teams compete in the Play-In stage and exactly one team advances to the Swiss Stage. The team that advances is the winner of the Play-In stage's final qualifying match, as officially declared by Riot Games at the conclusion of the Play-In stage. Teams seeded directly into the Swiss Stage are not considered. Any later disqualification, withdrawal, or replacement of the advancing team will not be considered. If the Play-In stage is postponed after November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or an advancing team has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/World_Championship/2026) may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/worlds-2026-team-to-advance-from-play-in
| PPMT | No | 30.06 |
| Fair-Tan | No | 25.58 |
| Kiffeur | No | 14.57 |
| bjprolo | No | 10 |
| Scotsban | No | 0.61 |
| plainfolder | No | 0.03 |
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