Analytics
Yes is at 17.5%, up 3 points from 14.5% when the market opened on 10 Feb 2026.
Across the 232 daily closes on record from 10 Feb 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (31 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 19.5% on 7 Oct 2026 and the lowest 7% on 4 Mar 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 17.5%; a month before, 16%. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points up, to 14% on 10 Mar 2026.
Kansas City Chiefs ranks second of the 16 outcomes in “Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion”. Buffalo Bills leads at 23%; Jacksonville Jaguars is at 13.5%.
$176.19K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $52.91K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $7.36K bought Yes and $1.63K bought No; the largest was a $1.87K buy of Yes at 18.7¢.
The largest Yes position is Silver Signal 409F with 9.4K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 14.3K. Ten wallets hold 92.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Apr 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 232 points, 10 Feb 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Feb 2026 | 14.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 17.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 14.34K |
| Silver Signal 409F | Yes | 9.41K |
| piratesfan1313 | Yes | 4.99K |
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 AFC championship game. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL AFC championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NFL AFC championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/pro-football-2027-afc-champion
4 more outcomes, none above 0.4%.
| Nooserac | No | 2.22K |
| oliman2 | No | 850.35 |
| Gaditima | Yes | 780 |
| Prickly-Eyrie | Yes | 761.39 |
| StudyPrediction | No | 602.23 |
| JAMJAMJAM4 | Yes | 572.1 |
| peepeepooppoop | Yes | 524.49 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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