Analytics
Yes is at 3%, down 13 points from 16% when the market opened on 10 Feb 2026.
Across the 233 daily closes on record from 10 Feb 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (29 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 18% on 13 Feb 2026 and the lowest 2.3% on 7 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 5.3%; a month before, 4.3%. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points down, to 11% on 15 Feb 2026.
Houston Texans ranks eighth of the 16 outcomes in “Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion”. Buffalo Bills leads at 23.5%; Kansas City Chiefs is at 17.5%.
$189.69K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $56.19K, with a 0.8% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $890.94 bought Yes and $2.62K bought No.
The largest Yes position is metagarbage with 3K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 14.3K. Ten wallets hold 90.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Apr 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 3:54 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 233 points, 10 Feb 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Feb 2026 | 16.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 3.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 14.31K |
| metagarbage | Yes | 2.99K |
| ChuDebbieSharp | Yes | 2.77K |
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 AFC championship game. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL AFC championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NFL AFC championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/pro-football-2027-afc-champion
4 more outcomes, none above 0.4%.
| elig2323 | Yes | 2.01K |
| anciano | Yes | 1.8K |
| blueorange | Yes | 1.08K |
| Hjklm | Yes | 686.46 |
| kisforchaos | Yes | 675.68 |
| onlyinvegas | No | 486.69 |
| jakesilo | Yes | 434.64 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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