Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 17.5% on 2 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 31 daily closes on record from 2 Aug 2024 to 1 Sep 2024, the highest close was 33.5% on 7 Aug 2024 and the lowest 0.5% on 1 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 11.5% on 18 Aug 2024. $21.22K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 6:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 31 points, 2 Aug 2024 – 1 Sep 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Aug 2024 | 17.5% |
| 1 Sep 2024 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Misty Maven 30CF | Yes | 992.48 |
| MZK | Yes | 291.28 |
| JohnLawrence | Yes | 75.36 |
| Heartblead | Yes | 11.76 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris publicly mentions the word "couch" between August 1, 4:45 PM ET and August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. A ‘mention’ includes the following: -A verbal usage of the word "couch" which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. -Any written usage of the word "couch" published through Kamala's social media or other official communication channels regardless of capitalization (@KamalaHarris and @VP, would qualify however @KamalaHQ will not count). Videos posted on her social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-kamala-say-in-august
| shibawino | No | 2.15 |
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