Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 37.5% on 24 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 24 Jul 2024 to 1 Aug 2024, the highest close was 37.5% on 24 Jul 2024 and the lowest 0.6% on 1 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 27% on 25 Jul 2024. $37.1K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 2, 5:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 24 Jul 2024 – 1 Aug 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2024 | 37.5% |
| 1 Aug 2024 | 0.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Jbb | Yes | 240.78 |
| protorobot | Yes | 32 |
| Ch33t0s | Yes | 5.88 |
| Straight-Corporation | Yes | 5.56 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-kamala-say-coconut-before-august
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| 80100220 | Yes | 0.2 |
| qaq22334 | No | 0.1 |
| okcoolstorybro | No | 0.05 |
| lkom5262 | No | 0.02 |
| chooktrump | Yes | 0.01 |
| moyan23 | No | 0.01 |
