Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 349.5K | $0.500 | $265.44K | +$90.69K |
|
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos AlcarazCarlos Alcaraz | buy | 150 | $0.640 | $96 | 14h ago |
|
| Yes |
| 349.5K |
| $0.500 |
| $84.05K |
| -$90.69K |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 9K | $0.500 | $7.88K | +$3.38K |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | No | 1.31K | $0.903 | $1.01K | -$182.17 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 6.58K | $0.500 | $822.39 | -$2.47K |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | Yes | 323.18 | $0.850 | $76.43 | -$198.42 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 544 | $0.593 | $73.44 | -$248.96 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.98K | $0.109 | $42.66 | -$173.89 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 303.21 | $0.169 | $30.32 | -$20.81 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 666 | $0.150 | $26.97 | -$72.93 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 496.7 | $0.213 | $22.35 | -$83.34 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 333 | $0.310 | $21.65 | -$81.58 |
 Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | Yes | 256.05 | $0.096 | $9.73 | -$14.81 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 200 | $0.190 | $6.6 | -$31.4 |
| buy |
| 200 |
| $0.680 |
| $136 |
| 14h ago |
 Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston AstrosNo | buy | 143.75 | $0.540 | $77.63 | 21d ago |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 338.49 | $0.815 | $275.87 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 180.17 | $0.809 | $145.76 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2K | $0.742 | $1.48K | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.55K | $0.731 | $1.14K | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2K | $0.731 | $1.46K | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 179.22 | $0.170 | $30.47 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 99.99 | $0.170 | $17 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.160 | $1.12 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.150 | $2.55 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 UFC Fight Night: Magomed Zaynukov vs. Damian Rzepecki (Lightweight, Main Card)Damian Rzepecki | buy | 100 | $0.299 | $29.93 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.600 | $7.8 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.590 | $14.16 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 16?Yes | buy | 92.99 | $0.599 | $55.69 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.720 | $9.73 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.710 | $14.2 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.700 | $9.46 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?Yes | buy | 13.34 | $0.680 | $9.07 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.670 | $8.71 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.670 | $67 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.660 | $66 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?Yes | sell | 20.69 | $0.526 | $10.88 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?Yes | buy | 21.64 | $0.559 | $12.1 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.792 | $20.6 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.800 | $16 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?Yes | buy | 19.98 | $0.575 | $11.49 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?Yes | buy | 38.09 | $0.212 | $8.08 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?Yes | buy | 16.3 | $0.211 | $3.44 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?Yes | buy | 115 | $0.880 | $101.2 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?Yes | buy | 213.63 | $0.880 | $187.94 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No | buy | 117.43 | $0.394 | $46.27 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 27.22K | $0.998 | $27.16K | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 2.78K | $0.998 | $2.78K | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 60K | $0.998 | $59.88K | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 199.61 | $0.360 | $71.86 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 27.19 | $0.380 | $10.33 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No | buy | 14.54 | $0.880 | $12.8 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?Yes | sell | 461.98 | $0.015 | $6.81 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 26, 2026?Yes | sell | 554.99 | $0.882 | $489.72 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | sell | 835.77 | $0.945 | $789.8 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 333 | $0.850 | $283.05 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 121 | $0.440 | $53.24 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.430 | $23.65 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?Yes | buy | 230.99 | $0.039 | $9.01 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?Yes | buy | 230.99 | $0.039 | $9.01 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 50.17 | $0.442 | $22.17 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 220.22 | $0.609 | $134.17 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 479.01 | $0.610 | $292.2 | Jun 20, 2026 |