Analytics
Resolved No on 28 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.9%. Yes opened at 21% on 24 Jul 2024. Before it settled, the high was 21% on 24 Jul 2024 and the low 0.4% on 27 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 1.7% on 25 Jul 2024. $315.47K traded over the market's life.
35 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 29, 3:39 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 5 points · 24 Jul 2024 – 28 Jul 2024 · axis zoomed to 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2024 | 21.0% |
| 28 Jul 2024 | 1.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| COOL555 | Yes | 4.75K |
| asdf8888 | Yes | 3.36K |
| ansari13735 | Yes | 1.36K |
| Opera8 | Yes | 1.2K |
| retar-dio | Yes | 1.06K |
| BlockchainBen | Yes | 1K |
| deebbone | Yes | 1K |
| Solar Beacon 9F31 | Yes | 666.67 |
| Slippery-Venti | Yes | 419.36 |
| Personal-Bonfire | Yes | 172.41 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris speaks at the 2024 Nashville Bitcoin Conference. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Speaking includes giving a speech, participating in an interview, or engaging in any public speaking activity on-stage at the conference. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-kamala-give-a-speech-at-bitcoin-conference
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