Analytics
Resolved No on 28 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 84%. Yes opened at 40.5% on 27 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 27 Dec 2024 to 28 Dec 2024, the highest close was 40.5% on 27 Dec 2024 and the lowest 16% on 28 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 16% on 28 Dec 2024. $83.41K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 29, 7:46 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 27 Dec 2024 – 28 Dec 2024, chart shows 10%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Dec 2024 | 40.5% |
| 28 Dec 2024 | 16.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 10.72K |
| RememberAmalek | Yes | 1.11K |
| Kmafi | Yes | 112.5 |
| tilyvily | Yes | 82.5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market group over the number of attempts it takes for Kai and Speed to beat their Fortnite challenge.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rgNcb8PTvgc
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/attempts-kai-and-speed-need-to-beat-fortnite
| Eazyy | Yes | 70 |
| r69 | Yes | 66.25 |
| DXDEVIL14 | Yes | 24.21 |
| thiagopasseri | Yes | 16.67 |
| phroge | Yes | 5 |
| boertu | Yes | 5 |
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