Resolved No on 9 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 74.4%. Yes opened at 52.5% on 6 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 6 Oct 2026 to 9 Oct 2026, the highest close was 52.5% on 6 Oct 2026 and the lowest 8.5% on 7 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 44 points down, to 8.5% on 7 Oct 2026. $15.17K traded over the market's life.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 10, 3:40 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 6 Oct 2026 – 9 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Oct 2026 | 52.5% |
| 9 Oct 2026 | 25.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.7K |
| taemaxx | Yes | 1.26K |
| IAMPEPPER | Yes | 761.35 |
| Underdogkid | Yes | 330.06 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Jynxzi, StableRonaldo, and Los Pollos are scheduled to begin streaming a hardcore Minecraft marathon on October 5, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to defeat the Ender Dragon in a hardcore Minecraft world. This market will resolve according to the number of combined Minecraft deaths across all three players during the entire marathon. The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Jynxzi’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Jynxzi, StableRonaldo, and Los Pollos complete or end the marathon. If Jynxzi’s counter is not available at that time, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on StableRonaldo’s official broadcast on Twitch, and if that counter is also not available, on Los Pollos’s official broadcast on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Jynxzi, StableRonaldo, and Los Pollos complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective. If none of these counters are available at the specified time, or if a counter becomes clearly erroneous or clearly does not represent the cumulative number of in-game Minecraft deaths during the entire marathon, this market will resolve according to the most recent value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counters, according to the aforementioned hierarchy, that accurately represents the cumulative number of in-game Minecraft deaths during the marathon. This market will remain open until the marathon is declared complete, abandoned, or otherwise finally ended by Jynxzi, StableRonaldo, or Los Pollos, regardless of whether the challenge is completed. If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on the counters at that time, according to the aforementioned hierarchy. The resolution source for this market will be the in-game death counters displayed on Jynxzi’s, StableRonaldo’s, and Los Pollos’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/jynxzi-ron-and-los-of-minecraft-deaths-during-marathon
| balthazar | Yes | 248.06 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| Jesetrading | Yes | 106 |
| Crimson Summit 6D33 | Yes | 100 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 46.75 |
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