Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 93%. Yes opened at 7.5% on 6 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 6 Oct 2026 to 8 Oct 2026, the highest close was 12.5% on 7 Oct 2026 and the lowest 7% on 8 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points down, to 7% on 8 Oct 2026. $87.31K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 9, 5:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 6 Oct 2026 – 8 Oct 2026, chart shows 4%–16%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Oct 2026 | 7.5% |
| 8 Oct 2026 | 7.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| elenaarybakin21 | Yes | 11.3K |
| alpaje | Yes | 1.24K |
| reis001 | Yes | 1K |
| lhafo | Yes | 392.12 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Jynxzi, StableRonaldo, and Los Pollos are scheduled to begin a hardcore Minecraft marathon on October 5, 2026. Their goal, as of market creation, is to defeat the Ender Dragon in a hardcore Minecraft world without any of the three dying. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jynxzi, StableRonaldo, and Los Pollos defeat the Ender Dragon live on stream, as accepted by them as a successful completion of their challenge, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only events occurring while at least one of the three players is broadcasting the challenge live will count. Footage of off-stream or previously recorded attempts will not qualify. If the challenge is cancelled, abandoned before completion, or delayed to a point after the specified date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be footage from the official broadcasts of the challenge on Jynxzi's, StableRonaldo's, and Los Pollos's official broadcasts on YouTube and Twitch.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/jynxzi-ron-and-los-beat-minecraft-byptptpt
| DeverNoom | Yes | 200 |
| Rapid Quasar 51BA | Yes | 167 |
| Lcz | Yes | 100 |
| PPMT | Yes | 52 |
| bechamel | Yes | 50 |
| a5533 | Yes | 49.99 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
