Analytics
Resolved No on 9 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.5%. Yes opened at 3% on 8 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 33 daily closes on record from 8 Aug 2026 to 9 Sep 2026, the highest close was 48% on 13 Aug 2026 and the lowest 1.5% on 9 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 45 points up, to 48% on 10 Aug 2026. $1.31K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 33 points, 8 Aug 2026 – 9 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Aug 2026 | 3.0% |
| 9 Sep 2026 | 1.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| akko123 | Yes | 300 |
| Attached-Prairie | Yes | 108.33 |
| jackli003 | Yes | 20 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Julian Alvarez officially finishes in the top 5 (positions 1 through 5) of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or final ranking. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the 2026 Ballon d'Or is canceled or a final ranking has not been published by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official Ballon d'Or announcement (https://www.ballondor.com/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ballon-dor-top-5-finish-2026
| Ethical-Bamboo | Yes | 14 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 12 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 4.99 |
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